The NBA has evolved into a scoring powerhouse, breaking old records and setting new standards for offensive play. A blend of rule changes, analytical approaches, and player skills has revolutionised the game, resulting in an unprecedented era of high scores and fast-paced action.
During the 2023-24 regular season, teams’ points per game averages ranged from 123.3 for the Indiana Pacers (53.88) to 105.8 for the Memphis Grizzlies (36.75).
Despite being the lowest-scoring team that season, the Grizzlies averaged more points per game than the top-scoring team two decades earlier.
In the 2003-04 season, the Dallas Mavericks (11.03) led the points per game rankings, averaging 105.2 points.
This trend is no accident. Rule changes and the rise of Stephen Curry (122.45) and the Golden State Warriors (38.27) fundamentally changed scoring trends in the NBA.
The Rise of Analytics and Three-Point Shooting
Analytics have reshaped the way basketball is played, with three-pointers now at the forefront of offensive strategy. Teams and analysts realised the mathematical advantage of shooting from behind the arc. A successful three-pointer is worth more than a two-point shot, making it a high-reward option.
This shift started in the 2010s, with teams like the Golden State Warriors, under Steve Kerr, building their offences around prolific three-point shooters such as Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. They popularised the idea that a three-pointer could be as effective as a traditional two-point play. As a result, other teams adopted similar tactics, leading to a sharp increase in three-point attempts and consequently higher scores.
Rule Changes Favouring Offence
The NBA has implemented rule changes to make games more dynamic and engaging for audiences, which has contributed to the rise in scoring. In 2004, the league eliminated hand-checking, limiting defenders’ physical control over offensive players. Without this tactic, guards and forwards found it easier to drive to the basket and score.
Another major change was the defensive three-second rule, which limits how long defenders can stay in the paint without guarding a player. This rule opened up the floor, allowing for more one-on-one play and encouraging offensive players to attack the rim. Combined, these changes created more space on the court, resulting in faster, higher-scoring games.
Faster Pace and Increased Possessions
NBA teams now play at a faster pace than ever before. Advanced metrics like pace of play have revealed that the more possessions a team has, the more opportunities they have to score. As a result, coaches encourage their teams to push the ball up the court quickly.
Teams have shifted from setting up long, drawn-out plays to quick transitions and fast breaks. Coaches now prioritise athleticism and speed, favouring players who can maintain high-intensity play on both offence and defence. This approach has led to quicker games and higher scores, pleasing fans who crave thrilling, end-to-end action.
Players’ Skills and Physical Conditioning
Today’s NBA players are not only stronger but also more skilled and versatile. Shooting has improved dramatically across all positions, with even centres and forwards now capable of making three-point shots. This positional versatility has made it harder for defences to keep up.
Moreover, the emphasis on conditioning allows players to sustain high-intensity performance for longer periods. The modern athlete’s fitness regimen and skill level have driven up scoring averages, pushing games to unprecedented levels of offence. This, combined with improved shooting techniques and playmaking skills, has led to the high-scoring phenomenon.
Emphasis on Entertaining Gameplay
The NBA understands that fans love action-packed games. High-scoring games with dunks, three-pointers, and buzzer-beaters are more entertaining, keeping audiences glued to the screen. To stay relevant and attract new fans, the NBA has cultivated an exciting style of play.
This drive for entertainment aligns with social media culture, where highlights of sensational plays spread rapidly. The league promotes players’ highlights, making offence-focused superstars the faces of the sport. High-scoring games make for shareable content, further boosting the NBA’s global appeal.
