Erling Haaland is on course to rewrite Premier League history. The Norwegian striker already has 80 league goals to his name and is on course to break a record.
Alan Shearer’s record of 260 Premier League goals has stood since 2006. Erling Haaland is emerging as the most likely player to break it. Soccer betting enthusiasts will have noted that despite Manchester City’s struggles, Haaland (1.93) shows no sign of slowing down as a scorer and is the favourite to be Premier League’s top scorer this season.
Haaland’s Scoring Rate
Haaland has been prolific since joining Manchester City (25.12) in 2022. By January 2025, he had scored 80 Premier League goals. This achievement came midway through his third season.
The striker averages over 30 goals per season in the league. He scored 36 goals in his first season and 27 in his second. He is on course for around 30 goals again this season.
Haaland’s scoring rate in the Premier League is just over 0.80 goals per game. If he maintains this pace, he could match Shearer’s tally within six to seven years. That would make him the record holder by his early 30s.
Shearer’s Longevity
Shearer’s record was built on consistency. He played 441 Premier League games for Blackburn Rovers and Newcastle United. His goal-scoring rate averaged 0.59 per game. His goals for Southampton came before the start of the Premier League era and were thus not factored into his record.
Haaland’s current rate is higher than Shearer’s in the Premier League, but maintaining this over a decade will be challenging. Injuries and form dips are factors to consider.
Haaland’s Contract
Haaland’s Manchester City contract runs until 2034. This long-term deal secures his future at a club that dominates English soccer. The stability could help him chase the record.
Playing for a team that creates numerous chances gives Haaland an edge. His physicality and positioning make him a constant threat. If he stays fit, Shearer’s record seems within reach.
Challenges Ahead
Breaking Shearer’s record requires more than scoring ability. Haaland must avoid serious injuries and maintain peak form. The Premier League’s intensity takes a toll on players.
Haaland’s long-term motivation will also be crucial. Players often lose their sharpness in their 30s. However, his current trajectory suggests he is capable of overcoming these challenges.
Haaland’s pursuit of Shearer’s record is a story to watch. His scoring rate makes him the most likely challenger. With time and consistency, he could become the Premier League’s all-time top scorer.
