Bafana Bafana face Nigeria in Bloemfontein on Tuesday. Victory for the hosts could end the Super Eagles’ hopes.
However, uncertainty surrounds the standings. FIFA may still rule on a complaint that could cost Bafana points.
Group C Picture: Bafana Bafana In Control
South Africa (2.50) currently leads CAF FIFA World Cup qualifying Group C. They have 16 points from seven games. That is five more than second-placed Benin. Nigeria sit in third place with 10 points.
Only the group winners will qualify directly for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The tournament will be held in the USA, Canada, and Mexico. Four of the best runners-up across the nine African groups will progress to a playoff stage. That playoff will decide which team represents Africa in the inter-confederation playoffs.
If Bafana suffer a points deduction, the picture changes dramatically. Lesotho lodged a complaint after South Africa fielded suspended midfielder Teboho Mokoena in March. FIFA has not yet made a ruling. If points are docked, Nigeria could benefit. They would draw level with South Africa should they win in Bloemfontein. Benin would also be well-placed to take advantage.
South Africa’s Recent Form
Bafana are in strong form under Hugo Broos. They beat Lesotho 3-0 in their last outing. That win came at the same venue where they now face Nigeria.
Their attack looked sharp, particularly down the left side. Aubrey Modiba was instrumental in building attacks from left-back. His overlapping runs provided width and stretched the Lesotho defence. That dominance gave the team confidence.
Broos has also enjoyed consistency in results. He has not lost in 16 games since the Africa Cup of Nations. This streak excludes games he did not oversee, such as CHAN and COSAFA Cup matches. Momentum is clearly with Bafana.
Nigeria’s Challenge
Nigeria remain dangerous despite recent stumbles. They edged Rwanda 1-0 in Uyo in their last match. The game was not convincing, but it kept them alive in the race.
Wolverhampton Wanderers striker Tolu Arokodare was the hero. He came off the bench to score the only goal. That strike proved vital in ensuring the Super Eagles stayed in contention.
However, fitness concerns remain. Star striker Victor Osimhen suffered an injury against Rwanda. He left the pitch in the 35th minute with a shin bruise. Osimhen is reportedly set to miss the game in Bloemfontein.
Team News
South Africa may have defensive concerns of their own. Thabo Moloisane picked up a head injury against Lesotho. His availability is still uncertain. Meanwhile, right-back Nyiko Mobbie is ruled out with injury. Thabiso Monyane has come into the squad as cover.
Nigeria’s focus is firmly on Osimhen’s fitness. His absence would force coach Éric Chelle to rely heavily on Arokodare. The striker showed he can deliver, but this stage is far more demanding. Other key players like Ademola Lookman and Alex Iwobi must step up.
Historical Rivalry
Matches between South Africa and Nigeria are often tight. Three of the last four have ended 1-1 after 90 minutes. The exception was a dramatic quarter-final at the Africa Cup of Nations. William Troost-Ekong scored an 89th-minute winner to give Nigeria a 2-1 victory.
The rivalry continued at the 2023 AFCON semi-finals. That match also ended 1-1 in normal time. Nigeria advanced after winning the penalty shootout. These encounters underline how fine the margins usually are.
What Is at Stake
For South Africa, a win could all but secure its place. Even if FIFA later applies a deduction, they would remain well-placed. Their form and momentum suggest confidence.
Nigeria, however, cannot afford to drop points. Defeat in Bloemfontein would leave their World Cup dream in danger. A draw would not be much better given Benin’s strong position.
This match, therefore, carries huge weight for both sides. Beyond qualification, it is also about pride. The rivalry between the two nations adds an extra layer. Fans and even those following online sports betting will be keeping a close eye.
Final Thoughts
South Africa appears to have momentum and home advantage. Nigeria have a pedigree and the ability to rise under pressure. The uncertainty around FIFA’s pending decision adds further intrigue.
What is clear is that both teams face a defining moment. A win for either could transform the group. Tuesday’s clash is set to be one of the most important encounters of the African qualifiers.
